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Theme

Oil & Gas

Every analyzed stock in Oil & Gas279 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Oil & Gas risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
41 /100 Elevated ▼ -2 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
61 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 203 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 203 stocks.
38 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
55 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.3%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
58%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
52%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 168 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Oil Prices Climb, ECB Raises Rates: Implications for Energy Stocks →
This week saw European stocks decline as the European Central Bank raised interest rates, coinciding with an increase in oil prices. For the oil and gas sector, higher oil prices can support revenue, but rising interest…
PBR
PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$21.20
Model IV$277.75
P/IV0.08
Discount 92% Return to IV: +1,210.1%
Market implies -37.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
PBT
PERMIAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUST
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$35.58
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
PCG
PG&E Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 67 · High
Price$13.80
Model IV$10.63
P/IV1.54
Premium +30% Return to IV: -23.0%
PDS
PRECISION DRILLING Corp
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$89.77
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
PED
PEDEVCO CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$14.84
Model IV$51.43
P/IV0.25
Discount 71% Return to IV: +246.5%
Market implies -11.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
PEG
PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 45 · Elevated
Price$70.92
Model IV$82.53
P/IV0.95
Discount 14% Return to IV: +16.4%
PNRG
PRIMEENERGY RESOURCES CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$213.40
Model IV$366.72
P/IV0.45
Discount 42% Return to IV: +71.8%
Market implies -2.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
PPL
PPL Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$34.08
Model IV$18.55
P/IV1.91
Premium +84% Return to IV: -45.6%
PPLC
PPL Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 69 · High
Price$46.00
Model IV$18.55
P/IV2.58
Premium +148% Return to IV: -59.7%
PR
Permian Resources Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$23.78
Model IV$66.23
P/IV0.29
Discount 64% Return to IV: +178.5%
Market implies -6.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
PROP
Prairie Operating Co.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$0.41
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +11.3%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
PRT
PermRock Royalty Trust
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$2.07
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
PSHG
Performance Shipping Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$1.68
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -39.6%/yr vs model +18.1% · below model
PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL, INC.
Deeply overvalued
Industrials Risk 67 · High
Price$42.11
Model IV$24.16
P/IV1.73
Premium +74% Return to IV: -42.6%
Market implies +16.0%/yr vs model +10.3% · above model
PSX
Phillips 66
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$259.47
Model IV$259.62
P/IV0.68
Discount 0% Return to IV: +0.1%
Market implies +3.6%/yr vs model +4.3% · in line
PTEN
PATTERSON UTI ENERGY INC
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$12.42
Model IV$27.42
P/IV0.41
Discount 55% Return to IV: +120.8%
Market implies -3.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
PUMP
ProPetro Holding Corp.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$10.50
Model IV$18.29
P/IV0.83
Discount 43% Return to IV: +74.2%
Market implies -2.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
PVL
Permianville Royalty Trust
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$1.87
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
RCON
Recon Technology, Ltd
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$1.21
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +25.6%/yr vs model +5.2% · above model
REI
RING ENERGY, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.52
Model IV$17.64
P/IV0.07
Discount 91% Return to IV: +1,060.4%
Market implies -31.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
REPX
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$43.51
Model IV$198.87
P/IV0.17
Discount 78% Return to IV: +357.1%
Market implies -14.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
RES
RPC INC
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$6.18
Model IV$9.53
P/IV0.69
Discount 35% Return to IV: +54.2%
Market implies -0.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
RGCO
RGC RESOURCES INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$21.32
Model IV$17.35
P/IV1.33
Premium +23% Return to IV: -18.6%
RIG
Transocean Ltd.
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$5.67
Model IV$3.62
P/IV1.71
Premium +57% Return to IV: -36.2%
Market implies +12.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$16.56
Model IV$34.36
P/IV0.45
Discount 52% Return to IV: +107.5%
Market implies -4.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
RRC
RANGE RESOURCES CORP
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$41.15
Model IV$42.33
P/IV0.92
Discount 3% Return to IV: +2.9%
Market implies -3.4%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
SBR
SABINE ROYALTY TRUST
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$74.85
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
SD
SANDRIDGE ENERGY INC
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$14.97
Model IV$27.42
P/IV0.54
Discount 45% Return to IV: +83.1%
Market implies -12.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
SDRL
Seadrill Ltd
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 53 · Elevated
Price$47.90
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +31.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
SHEL
Shell plc
Undervalued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$96.77
Model IV$134.94
P/IV0.72
Discount 28% Return to IV: +39.4%
Market implies -3.7%/yr vs model +1.6% · below model
SJT
SAN JUAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUST
Valuation N/A
Financial Services
Price$3.20
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
SLB
SLB LIMITED/NV
Undervalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$53.32
Model IV$66.88
P/IV0.82
Discount 20% Return to IV: +25.4%
Market implies +3.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
SLNG
Stabilis Solutions, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$4.95
Model IV$2.26
P/IV1.63
Premium +119% Return to IV: -54.3%
SM
SM Energy Co
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$41.29
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -21.2%/yr vs model +4.6% · below model
SMC
Summit Midstream Corp
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$34.05
Model IV$14.10
P/IV1.89
Premium +141% Return to IV: -58.6%
SND
Smart Sand, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Basic Materials Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$5.09
Model IV$11.39
P/IV0.38
Discount 55% Return to IV: +123.8%
Market implies -6.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
SO
SOUTHERN CO
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 57 · Elevated
Price$85.95
Model IV$55.73
P/IV1.65
Premium +54% Return to IV: -35.2%
SOBO
South Bow Corp
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$35.99
Model IV$55.30
P/IV0.65
Discount 35% Return to IV: +53.7%
Market implies -2.8%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
SOC
Sable Offshore Corp.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$5.17
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +55.0%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
SOJC
SOUTHERN CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$18.90
Model IV$55.73
P/IV0.42
Discount 66% Return to IV: +194.9%
SOJD
SOUTHERN CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 50 · Elevated
Price$17.81
Model IV$55.73
P/IV1.32
Discount 68% Return to IV: +212.9%
SOJE
SOUTHERN CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$16.15
Model IV$37.17
P/IV0.46
Discount 57% Return to IV: +130.2%
SOJF
SOUTHERN CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$24.41
Model IV$55.73
P/IV0.45
Discount 56% Return to IV: +128.3%
SOMN
SOUTHERN CO
Undervalued
Utilities Risk 29 · Moderate
Price$46.12
Model IV$55.73
P/IV0.35
Discount 17% Return to IV: +20.8%
SPH
SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP
Deeply undervalued
Consumer Cyclical Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$17.07
Model IV$37.73
P/IV0.51
Discount 55% Return to IV: +121.0%
Market implies -7.2%/yr vs model +4.3% · below model
SR
SPIRE INC
Undervalued
Utilities Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$80.20
Model IV$107.73
P/IV0.75
Discount 26% Return to IV: +34.3%
SRE
SEMPRA
Overvalued
Utilities Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$83.34
Model IV$76.93
P/IV1.16
Premium +8% Return to IV: -7.7%
SREA
SEMPRA
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$19.92
Model IV$67.44
P/IV0.32
Discount 70% Return to IV: +238.6%
SRJN
SPIRE INC
Valuation N/A
Utilities Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$21.80
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
STNG
Scorpio Tankers Inc.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$84.52
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
SU
SUNCOR ENERGY INC
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$68.83
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
SWX
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
Fairly valued
Utilities Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$86.11
Model IV$85.65
P/IV1.01
Premium +1% Return to IV: -0.5%
TALO
TALOS ENERGY INC.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$17.68
Model IV$87.37
P/IV0.17
Discount 80% Return to IV: +394.2%
Market implies -14.6%/yr vs model +7.8% · below model
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corp
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$39.13
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +80.1%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
TCPA
TRANSCANADA PIPELINES LTD
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 56 · Elevated
Price$21.90
Model IV$17.27
P/IV1.38
Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.1%
TEN
TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$47.90
Model IV$285.41
P/IV0.13
Discount 83% Return to IV: +495.8%
Market implies -16.8%/yr vs model +8.8% · below model
TGS
GAS TRANSPORTER OF THE SOUTH INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 66 · High
Price$29.66
Model IV$14.97
P/IV2.08
Premium +98% Return to IV: -49.5%
TK
TEEKAY CORP LTD
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$14.38
Model IV$44.20
P/IV0.24
Discount 67% Return to IV: +207.4%
Market implies -5.7%/yr vs model +11.8% · below model
TMDE
TMD Energy Ltd
Valuation N/A
Consumer Defensive Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$0.75
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model
TNK
TEEKAY TANKERS LTD.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 37 · Moderate
Price$100.83
Model IV$399.33
P/IV0.18
Discount 75% Return to IV: +296.0%
Market implies -7.8%/yr vs model +12.4% · below model