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Theme

Oil & Gas

Every analyzed stock in Oil & Gas279 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Oil & Gas risk
Near-term vs. long-term risk for this theme
⚡ Right now ?Near-term risk over roughly the next 3 months. Blends live market conditions (volatility, how far the S&P is from its highs, credit spreads, the yield curve, sentiment), how stretched valuations are, and what the smart money is doing. Higher = greater odds of a pullback. · next 0–3 months
41 /100 Elevated ▼ -2 slight
Long-term risk ?Long-term / structural risk — the market's underlying tide. Where valuations sit versus 145 years of history (Shiller CAPE) plus multi-year trends. A high reading means weak long-run return prospects even if the market feels calm right now. · structural · vs 145yr history
61 /100 High ◆ flat
▲ / ▼ = change vs ~7 days ago — red = risk rising, green = falling.
Inside the "right now" score — a 45 / 30 / 25 blend · 203 stocks valued
Conditions · 45% ?The live market weather: VIX (expected volatility), how far the S&P 500 is below its 52-week high, high-yield credit spreads, the 10-year vs 2-year yield curve, and the Fear & Greed index. Market-wide indices, not per-stock.
33 Moderate
Valuation · 30% ?How expensive stocks are versus our intrinsic-value models: the median price-to-value ratio and the share of stocks trading above what we think they are worth, across 203 stocks.
38 Moderate
Smart money · 25% ?What informed money is doing: short-selling activity plus corporate insiders buying or selling their own stock. Broken out below.
55 Elevated
Smart money — the three inputs
Short-selling ?Share of ALL US trading volume that is short sales (FINRA, ~12,000 symbols, market-wide). It normally sits near 45–50%, so readings above ~50% lean bearish and read as higher risk. Weighted 40% of Smart money.
51.3%
Elevated
Buyers' strike ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders bought NONE of their own stock on the open market in the last 12 months. The higher this runs, the more bearish (nobody's buying the dip in their own shares). Weighted 35%.
58%
Elevated
Net insider selling ?Share of the sampled companies whose insiders were net DISCRETIONARY sellers over 12 months (excludes scheduled 10b5-1 plans, which carry little signal). Around half is normal; well above that is bearish. Weighted 25%.
52%
Elevated
Black number = the raw figure; coloured bar & word = how it reads as risk. Insider inputs from 169 stocks (full universe); short-selling is market-wide.
Long-term risk: the long-term read runs high mainly because valuations sit near a historic extreme (Shiller CAPE) — a structural backdrop, not about this week.
Divergence: insiders are defensive while macro conditions (credit, curve, volatility) stay calm. Insiders are strong judges of their own companies but poor macro timers — historically this pattern favors selective stock-picking (see the opportunistic-buy signals) over exiting the market wholesale.
Scale (0–100): 0–20 Low · 20–40 Moderate · 40–60 Elevated · 60–80 High · 80–100 Extreme. "Right now" reads today's conditions; the "long-term" score is anchored to ~145 years of valuation history.
Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
This week in Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas — Sep 7 – Sep 11, 2026 (Wk 37): Oil Prices Climb, ECB Raises Rates: Implications for Energy Stocks →
This week saw European stocks decline as the European Central Bank raised interest rates, coinciding with an increase in oil prices. For the oil and gas sector, higher oil prices can support revenue, but rising interest…
DTE
DTE ENERGY CO
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 61 · High
Price$132.58
Model IV$91.72
P/IV1.56
Premium +45% Return to IV: -30.8%
DTK
DTE ENERGY CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$22.10
Model IV$91.72
P/IV0.45
Discount 76% Return to IV: +315.0%
DTM
DT Midstream, Inc.
Overvalued
Utilities Risk 58 · Elevated
Price$128.86
Model IV$109.71
P/IV1.28
Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.9%
DTW
DTE ENERGY CO
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$19.15
Model IV$91.72
P/IV0.23
Discount 79% Return to IV: +379.0%
DUK
Duke Energy CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$119.42
Model IV$88.63
P/IV1.38
Premium +35% Return to IV: -25.8%
DUKB
Duke Energy CORP
Overvalued
Utilities Risk 60 · High
Price$21.34
Model IV$17.22
P/IV1.38
Premium +24% Return to IV: -19.3%
DVN
DEVON ENERGY CORP/DE
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$50.23
Model IV$107.75
P/IV0.41
Discount 53% Return to IV: +114.5%
Market implies -5.7%/yr vs model +4.8% · below model
DWSN
DAWSON GEOPHYSICAL CO
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$3.22
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +62.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
E
ENI SPA
Overvalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$55.40
Model IV$44.25
P/IV1.27
Premium +25% Return to IV: -20.1%
Market implies +4.6%/yr vs model +1.6% · in line
EC
ECOPETROL S.A.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 47 · Elevated
Price$18.26
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
ECO
Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$79.72
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
ED
CONSOLIDATED EDISON INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 55 · Elevated
Price$106.46
Model IV$80.39
P/IV1.31
Premium +32% Return to IV: -24.5%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$35.95
Model IV$7.46
P/IV4.42
Premium +382% Return to IV: -79.3%
EFXT
Enerflex Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 27 · Moderate
Price$22.92
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
EGY
VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 36 · Moderate
Price$6.32
Model IV$25.19
P/IV0.21
Discount 75% Return to IV: +298.6%
Market implies -12.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
EMA
EMERA INC
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 62 · High
Price$49.01
Model IV$37.67
P/IV1.38
Premium +30% Return to IV: -23.1%
ENB
ENBRIDGE INC
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$48.16
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +83.9%/yr vs model +4.0% · above model
ENJ
ENTERGY NEW ORLEANS, LLC
Valuation N/A
Utilities
Price$19.23
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
ENO
ENTERGY NEW ORLEANS, LLC
Valuation N/A
Utilities
Price$20.61
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
EOG
EOG RESOURCES INC
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$147.36
Model IV$366.40
P/IV0.36
Discount 60% Return to IV: +148.6%
Market implies -7.7%/yr vs model +4.7% · below model
EONR
EON Resources Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$0.62
Model IV$7.15
P/IV0.08
Discount 91% Return to IV: +1,059.6%
Market implies -50.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · below model
EP
EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP
Deeply overvalued
Energy Risk 48 · Elevated
Price$2.50
Model IV$0.88
P/IV2.87
Premium +183% Return to IV: -64.6%
Market implies +16.4%/yr vs model +5.1% · above model
EPD
ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 65 · High
Price$38.90
Model IV$26.57
P/IV1.38
Premium +46% Return to IV: -31.7%
EPM
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$3.72
Model IV$18.45
P/IV0.23
Discount 80% Return to IV: +395.8%
Market implies -16.8%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
EPSN
Epsilon Energy Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 34 · Moderate
Price$6.27
Model IV$13.35
P/IV0.42
Discount 53% Return to IV: +113.0%
Market implies -7.8%/yr vs model +4.7% · below model
EQNR
EQUINOR ASA
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$45.75
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
EQT
EQT Corp
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 46 · Elevated
Price$54.07
Model IV$48.89
P/IV1.12
Premium +11% Return to IV: -9.6%
Market implies +5.8%/yr vs model +5.5% · in line
ES
EVERSOURCE ENERGY
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$68.52
Model IV$102.18
P/IV0.67
Discount 33% Return to IV: +49.1%
ESOA
Energy Services of America CORP
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$11.38
Model IV$53.95
P/IV0.28
Discount 79% Return to IV: +374.1%
Market implies -29.0%/yr vs model +35.4% · below model
ET
Energy Transfer LP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 60 · High
Price$21.55
Model IV$13.84
P/IV1.38
Premium +56% Return to IV: -35.8%
EXC
EXELON CORP
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 65 · High
Price$43.16
Model IV$32.07
P/IV1.42
Premium +35% Return to IV: -25.7%
EXE
EXPAND ENERGY Corp
Fairly valued
Energy Risk 38 · Moderate
Price$94.83
Model IV$108.29
P/IV0.86
Discount 12% Return to IV: +14.2%
Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$204.97
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -4.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
FLNG
Flex LNG Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$31.70
Model IV$49.25
P/IV0.60
Discount 36% Return to IV: +55.4%
Market implies -3.9%/yr vs model +3.0% · below model
FRO
Frontline plc
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$49.21
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +29.9%/yr vs model +15.0% · above model
FTK
FLOTEK INDUSTRIES INC/CN/
Valuation N/A
Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$26.34
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +91.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
FTS
Fortis Inc.
Deeply overvalued
Utilities Risk 61 · High
Price$54.37
Model IV$39.96
P/IV1.38
Premium +36% Return to IV: -26.5%
FTW
PRESIDIO PRODUCTION Co
Valuation N/A
Energy
Price$10.53
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
GBR
New Concept Energy, Inc.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$0.75
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
GEL
GENESIS ENERGY LP
Overvalued
Energy Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$15.59
Model IV$13.32
P/IV1.13
Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.6%
Market implies -2.0%/yr vs model +0.0% · in line
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$6.52
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
GLND
Greenland Energy Co
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$1.22
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
GLNDW
Greenland Energy Co
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 54 · Elevated
Price$0.32
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
GLNG
GOLAR LNG LTD
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 31 · Moderate
Price$52.89
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +14.5%/yr vs model +10.9% · above model
GNE
Genie Energy Ltd.
Deeply undervalued
Utilities Risk 42 · Elevated
Price$15.78
Model IV$6.78
P/IV0.32
Premium +133% Return to IV: -57.0%
GPOR
GULFPORT ENERGY CORP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 33 · Moderate
Price$173.25
Model IV$867.27
P/IV0.19
Discount 80% Return to IV: +400.6%
Market implies -14.6%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
GPRK
GeoPark Ltd
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 32 · Moderate
Price$11.47
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$5.32
Model IV$46.20
P/IV0.11
Discount 88% Return to IV: +768.5%
Market implies -24.2%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
GTE
GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 24 · Moderate
Price$10.57
Model IV$110.21
P/IV0.07
Discount 90% Return to IV: +942.7%
Market implies -31.9%/yr vs model +5.4% · below model
HAL
HALLIBURTON CO
Undervalued
Energy Risk 41 · Elevated
Price$35.84
Model IV$52.95
P/IV0.73
Discount 32% Return to IV: +47.7%
Market implies +1.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
HESM
Hess Midstream LP
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 35 · Moderate
Price$39.97
Model IV$124.82
P/IV0.30
Discount 68% Return to IV: +212.3%
Market implies -9.1%/yr vs model +6.6% · below model
HLX
HELIX ENERGY SOLUTIONS GROUP INC
Undervalued
Energy Risk 40 · Elevated
Price$10.60
Model IV$14.68
P/IV0.64
Discount 28% Return to IV: +38.5%
Market implies +1.1%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
HP
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
Undervalued
Energy Risk 51 · Elevated
Price$44.04
Model IV$45.38
P/IV0.84
Discount 3% Return to IV: +3.0%
Market implies +6.0%/yr vs model +8.0% · in line
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 43 · Elevated
Price$8.47
Model IV$54.04
P/IV0.13
Discount 84% Return to IV: +538.0%
Market implies -23.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
ICON
Icon Energy Corp
Valuation N/A
Industrials Risk 49 · Elevated
Price$0.92
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies -35.5%/yr vs model +15.0% · below model
IMO
IMPERIAL OIL LTD
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 52 · Elevated
Price$129.99
Model IV
P/IV
Limited data — see page
IMPP
Imperial Petroleum Inc./Marshall Islands
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$5.79
Model IV$99.88
P/IV0.05
Discount 94% Return to IV: +1,625.0%
Market implies -23.8%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
IMPPP
Imperial Petroleum Inc./Marshall Islands
Deeply undervalued
Industrials Risk 39 · Moderate
Price$26.10
Model IV$155.33
P/IV0.17
Discount 83% Return to IV: +495.1%
Market implies -4.8%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
INDO
Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd
Valuation N/A
Energy Risk 26 · Moderate
Price$3.15
Model IV
P/IV
Market implies +39.1%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
INR
INFINITY NATURAL RESOURCES, INC.
Deeply undervalued
Energy Risk 30 · Moderate
Price$14.92
Model IV$59.30
P/IV0.23
Discount 75% Return to IV: +297.4%
Market implies -12.4%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model