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Verdict

Fairly valued stocks right now

Recomputed daily from each company's filings and price. Cheap can mean overlooked or it can mean trouble: open any card for the failure-warning checks and insider activity before deciding which.

Every analyzed stock in Fairly Valued — 556 companies. Each card shows price, our model's intrinsic value (IV), and how far price sits above or below it. Click any card for the full analysis. This is a research-triage view, not a buy/sell signal.

Educational use only — not investment advice. "Undervalued / fairly valued / overvalued" and every risk score reflect our models vs. price, which can be wrong or based on stale or incomplete data. Always review the company's own financials and SEC filings, and consult a licensed advisor, before acting.
"Fairly Valued" by: Model value (price vs DCF) Owner-earnings return (equity bond)

This lens: each stock is priced as a bond whose coupon is its owner earnings (operating cash flow − all capex − stock compensation, three-year average) growing at the model's capped rate; "Fairly Valued" here means IRR within 5 points over Treasuries (10-yr Treasury 5.22% today). Full cross-comparison table →

Market state today: Calm — the S&P 500 closed 0.7% below its 1-year high (as of 2026-10-08). Our rule, the same one used to split every backtest on this site: sell-off = 10% or more below the 1-year high, borderline from 5%, calm otherwise. A further 9.4% fall from here would put us in a sell-off. Since 2006 the market has been in a sell-off 16.6% of the time, across 13 episodes (red bands).
2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
S&P 500 (SPY, adjusted) distance from its trailing 1-year high, weekly. Amber band: borderline (−5% to −10%). Red band: sell-off (below −10%). The dot is today. History to 2026-08-19 from the research database; today from the live feed.
Backtest · point in time · 8,702 entries in the study

Does this screen work? The record for exactly these filters

Screen tested: Owner-earnings 10-yr IRR within 5 points over Treasuries · bought the day of the annual report, held 12 months
Could be luck ●●●●● Buy every company that met this screen on the day it filed its annual report, hold 12 months: on average it beat the S&P 500 by +1.4 pts (966 entries, 349 companies, indistinguishable from luck). 46% of entries beat the S&P; 15% beat it by 30 points or more; 25% trailed it by 20 points or more. Owning everything instead averaged +1.7 pts, so the screen's edge is −0.3 pts.
+1.4 ptsvs S&P, average
46%beat the S&P
15%up 30+ pts vs S&P
25%down 20+ pts vs S&P
+5.3 ptsvs small caps, 12 mo
−11.5 pts 2024worst year to buy ?
0.9luck check ?
Does the holding period matter?3 mo: −0.4 pts 46% beat6 mo: −1.2 pts 45% beat12 mo: +1.4 pts 46% beat24 mo: −0.6 pts 40% beat3 yr, per yr: −4.7 pts 35% beat
Market state at entryCompany-yearsvs S&P 12 movs small caps
Calm ◀ today840+0.8 pts t 0.6+4.7 pts
Sell-off (S&P ≥10% off high)126+5.4 pts t 0.7+8.8 pts
Sector (SEC group)nvs S&P 12 mo3 yrs / yr
Industrials & manufacturing355−1.5 pts t -0.9−7.0 pts
Services132+0.3 pts t 0.1−1.0 pts
Retail & consumer117+1.8 pts t 0.5−5.6 pts
Tech hardware & semis78+7.3 pts t 0.8−0.5 pts
Other43+11.9 pts t 0.8−8.5 pts
Biotech & pharma40+15.0 pts t 0.8−6.0 pts
Finance & real estate33+2.1 pts t 0.4+0.9 pts
Medical devices31+5.8 pts t 1.3+4.4 pts

Holds up out of sample? Before 2018: +3.2 pts (n 385, t 2.3). From 2018: +0.2 pts (n 581, t 0.1). Same sign in both halves.

Year201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
vs S&P+5 pts+5 pts+7 pts+4 pts−3 pts+9 pts+2 pts−1 pts+0 pts+23 pts−5 pts+7 pts−10 pts−11 pts+0 pts
n32548738873758374686878807159

Read the research behind this screen: Ranking companies as equity bonds: the top fifth beats the bottom fifth by a wide margin → · Test your own combination in the Screen Lab →

Same definitions as the table: coupon = 3-yr average owner earnings, growth capped, 15× exit. Historical IRR uses a 5-yr revenue CAGR as the growth proxy where the DCF rate is not available point-in-time. Point-in-time: each entry is one company bought at the first close after its 10-K filing date, using only filings available that day, held 12 months; result = total return minus SPY over the same months (vs IWM for 12 months; 3-yr annualised). Survivorship-tilted universe; no costs; read spreads, not levels. Educational, hypothetical, before costs.

MSCI
MSCI Inc.
Equity-like
Technology
Yield3.3%
Growth used13.6%
10-yr IRR8.1%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.01
Market implies +9.6%/yr vs model +13.6% · below model
MRSH
MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC.
Equity-like
Financial Services
Yield4.5%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR8.1%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.82
Market implies +4.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · below model
INTT
INTEST CORP
Equity-like
Healthcare
Yield4.4%
Growth used8.3%
10-yr IRR8.1%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 3.64
Market implies +20.4%/yr vs model +8.3% · above model
CNXN
PC CONNECTION INC
Equity-like
Industrials
Yield5.6%
Growth used4.2%
10-yr IRR8.1%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 3.18
Market implies +20.1%/yr vs model +4.2% · above model
COP
CONOCOPHILLIPS
Equity-like
Energy
Yield5.3%
Growth used4.8%
10-yr IRR8.0%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.08
Market implies +5.6%/yr vs model +4.8% · in line
SOLV
Solventum Corp
Equity-like
Healthcare
Yield4.6%
Growth used7.2%
10-yr IRR8.0%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.68
Market implies +0.7%/yr vs model +7.2% · below model
AON
Aon plc
Equity-like
Financial Services
Yield4.4%
Growth used8.3%
10-yr IRR8.0%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.94
Market implies +6.0%/yr vs model +8.3% · in line
DAL
DELTA AIR LINES, INC.
Equity-like
Industrials
Yield4.4%
Growth used8.0%
10-yr IRR8.0%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.48
Market implies +11.7%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp
Equity-like
Communication Services
Yield3.0%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR8.0%
Grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 2.30
Market implies +22.9%/yr vs model +25.0% · in line
SONO
Sonos Inc
Equity-like
Technology
Yield4.8%
Growth used6.7%
10-yr IRR8.0%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV —
Market implies +31.4%/yr vs model +6.7% · above model
MSM
MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO INC
Equity-like
Industrials
Yield5.1%
Growth used5.4%
10-yr IRR7.9%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.70
Market implies +12.1%/yr vs model +5.4% · above model
KWR
QUAKER CHEMICAL CORP
Equity-like
Energy
Yield5.8%
Growth used3.0%
10-yr IRR7.9%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 2.26
Market implies +15.6%/yr vs model +3.0% · above model
AMG
AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP, INC.
Equity-like
Financial Services
Yield5.4%
Growth used4.5%
10-yr IRR7.8%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.00
Market implies +4.9%/yr vs model +4.5% · in line
SCHL
SCHOLASTIC CORP
Equity-like
Communication Services
Yield5.1%
Growth used5.3%
10-yr IRR7.8%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.72
Market implies -0.1%/yr vs model +5.3% · below model
RMD
RESMED INC
Equity-like
Healthcare
Yield3.5%
Growth used11.9%
10-yr IRR7.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.51
Market implies +3.6%/yr vs model +11.9% · below model
SNN
SMITH & NEPHEW PLC
Equity-like
Healthcare
Yield4.3%
Growth used8.3%
10-yr IRR7.8%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.57
Market implies -0.3%/yr vs model +8.3% · below model
WTW
WILLIS TOWERS WATSON PLC
Equity-like
Financial Services
Yield4.4%
Growth used7.7%
10-yr IRR7.7%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.60
Market implies +2.1%/yr vs model +7.7% · below model
GILD
GILEAD SCIENCES, INC.
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield4.5%
Growth used7.6%
10-yr IRR7.7%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.92
Market implies +4.8%/yr vs model +7.6% · in line
EONR
EON Resources Inc.
Bond-like
Energy
Yield6.9%
Growth used0.0%
10-yr IRR7.7%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 4.00
Market implies +14.8%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
HURN
Huron Consulting Group Inc.
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield4.1%
Growth used9.1%
10-yr IRR7.7%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.88
Market implies +6.1%/yr vs model +9.1% · in line
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield3.9%
Growth used10.0%
10-yr IRR7.7%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.18
Market implies +9.8%/yr vs model +10.0% · in line
ROL
ROLLINS INC
Bond-like
Technology
Yield3.5%
Growth used11.9%
10-yr IRR7.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.97
Market implies +8.8%/yr vs model +11.9% · below model
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.
Bond-like
Consumer Cyclical
Yield5.1%
Growth used4.9%
10-yr IRR7.6%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 2.24
Market implies +15.2%/yr vs model +4.9% · above model
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited Corp.
Bond-like
Energy
Yield4.8%
Growth used6.1%
10-yr IRR7.6%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 3.69
Market implies +18.5%/yr vs model +6.1% · above model
GIC
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL Co
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield4.7%
Growth used6.5%
10-yr IRR7.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.92
Market implies +7.7%/yr vs model +6.5% · in line
DAVE
Dave Inc./DE
Bond-like
Financial Services
Yield2.9%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR7.6%
Grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.67
Market implies +16.9%/yr vs model +25.0% · below model
MDT
Medtronic plc
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield4.3%
Growth used8.1%
10-yr IRR7.6%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.94
Market implies +5.5%/yr vs model +8.1% · in line
CNX
CNX Resources Corp
Bond-like
Energy
Yield5.4%
Growth used3.9%
10-yr IRR7.5%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.96
Market implies +3.1%/yr vs model +3.9% · in line
BIPJ
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P.
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield3.9%
Growth used9.9%
10-yr IRR7.5%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.30
Market implies -9.0%/yr vs model +9.9% · below model
LILAK
Liberty Latin America Ltd.
Bond-like
Communication Services
Yield6.2%
Growth used1.5%
10-yr IRR7.5%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.40
Market implies +5.6%/yr vs model +1.5% · above model
KMDA
KAMADA LTD
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield3.5%
Growth used11.5%
10-yr IRR7.5%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.57
Market implies +12.5%/yr vs model +11.5% · in line
DRI
DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC
Bond-like
Consumer Cyclical
Yield4.3%
Growth used8.1%
10-yr IRR7.5%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.99
Market implies +6.5%/yr vs model +8.1% · in line
IPAR
INTERPARFUMS INC
Bond-like
Consumer Defensive
Yield4.3%
Growth used7.7%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.74
Market implies +2.0%/yr vs model +7.7% · below model
BMI
BADGER METER INC
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield3.4%
Growth used11.8%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.84
Market implies +6.5%/yr vs model +11.8% · below model
OSK
OSHKOSH CORP
Bond-like
Consumer Cyclical
Yield4.3%
Growth used7.9%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.75
Market implies +13.2%/yr vs model +7.9% · above model
LILA
Liberty Latin America Ltd.
Bond-like
Communication Services
Yield6.2%
Growth used1.5%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.41
Market implies +5.7%/yr vs model +1.5% · above model
DFIN
Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.
Bond-like
Technology
Yield4.6%
Growth used6.5%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.25
Market implies +8.0%/yr vs model +6.5% · in line
BV
BrightView Holdings, Inc.
Bond-like
Basic Materials
Yield5.4%
Growth used3.8%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.68
Market implies +9.7%/yr vs model +3.8% · above model
PAYX
PAYCHEX INC
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield4.4%
Growth used7.3%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.75
Market implies +3.5%/yr vs model +7.3% · below model
WOR
WORTHINGTON ENTERPRISES, INC.
Bond-like
Basic Materials
Yield5.4%
Growth used3.9%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.62
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model
KVUE
Kenvue Inc.
Bond-like
Consumer Defensive
Yield5.6%
Growth used3.0%
10-yr IRR7.4%
Steady compounder · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.86
Market implies +1.1%/yr vs model +3.0% · in line
AGX
ARGAN INC
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield4.0%
Growth used9.2%
10-yr IRR7.3%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.35
Market implies +12.9%/yr vs model +9.2% · above model
TROW
PRICE T ROWE GROUP INC
Bond-like
Financial Services
Yield5.3%
Growth used3.9%
10-yr IRR7.3%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.27
Market implies +6.8%/yr vs model +3.9% · in line
CON
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield4.1%
Growth used8.5%
10-yr IRR7.3%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.66
Market implies +6.4%/yr vs model +8.5% · in line
KMB
KIMBERLY CLARK CORP
Bond-like
Basic Materials
Yield6.6%
Growth used0.0%
10-yr IRR7.3%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 2.07
Market implies +8.5%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model
CPRT
COPART INC
Bond-like
Consumer Cyclical
Yield4.2%
Growth used7.8%
10-yr IRR7.3%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.94
Market implies +5.9%/yr vs model +7.8% · in line
CVLT
COMMVAULT SYSTEMS INC
Bond-like
Technology
Yield3.2%
Growth used12.9%
10-yr IRR7.2%
Grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV —
Market implies +24.3%/yr vs model +12.9% · above model
RDY
DR REDDYS LABORATORIES LTD
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield3.7%
Growth used10.0%
10-yr IRR7.1%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.97
Market implies +7.7%/yr vs model +10.0% · in line
FDX
FEDEX CORP
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield5.1%
Growth used4.3%
10-yr IRR7.1%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.27
Market implies +7.2%/yr vs model +4.3% · in line
MOV
MOVADO GROUP INC
Bond-like
Consumer Cyclical
Yield5.2%
Growth used4.1%
10-yr IRR7.1%
Steady compounder · 4 yrs positive P/IV 1.54
Market implies +6.2%/yr vs model +4.1% · in line
RAL
Ralliant Corp
Bond-like
Healthcare
Yield4.6%
Growth used6.4%
10-yr IRR7.1%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.78
Market implies +13.7%/yr vs model +6.4% · above model
GNK
GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield6.7%
Growth used-0.3%
10-yr IRR7.1%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV —
Market implies +21.8%/yr vs model -0.3% · above model
PRMB
Primo Brands Corp
Bond-like
Consumer Defensive
Yield3.4%
Growth used11.6%
10-yr IRR7.0%
Moderate grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 1.35
Market implies +9.8%/yr vs model +11.6% · in line
TTD
Trade Desk, Inc.
Bond-like
Technology
Yield2.8%
Growth used15.0%
10-yr IRR7.0%
Grower · 3 yrs positive P/IV 0.70
Market implies +7.1%/yr vs model +15.8% · below model
WHG
WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC
Bond-like
Financial Services
Yield4.2%
Growth used7.9%
10-yr IRR7.0%
Moderate grower · 4 yrs positive P/IV 0.72
Market implies +0.3%/yr vs model +7.9% · below model
LHX
L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. /DE/
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield4.6%
Growth used6.1%
10-yr IRR7.0%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 0.95
Market implies +4.2%/yr vs model +6.1% · in line
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield3.7%
Growth used10.0%
10-yr IRR7.0%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.24
Market implies +10.2%/yr vs model +10.0% · in line
LXFR
LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC
Bond-like
Basic Materials
Yield5.3%
Growth used3.7%
10-yr IRR7.0%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 2.78
Market implies +16.4%/yr vs model +3.7% · above model
BBY
BEST BUY CO INC
Bond-like
Consumer Cyclical
Yield5.2%
Growth used4.0%
10-yr IRR7.0%
Steady compounder · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.03
Market implies +4.0%/yr vs model +4.0% · in line
IQV
IQVIA HOLDINGS INC.
Bond-like
Industrials
Yield4.2%
Growth used7.6%
10-yr IRR6.9%
Moderate grower · 5 yrs positive P/IV 1.08
Market implies +12.1%/yr vs model +7.6% · above model