Mega Cap Archives - savng.com

AAPL

Apple Inc.

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 59 · Elevated

Price$305.93

Model IV$115.28

P/IV2.71

Premium +165% Return to IV: -62.3%

Market implies +20.8%/yr vs model +8.8% · above model

ABBV

AbbVie Inc.

Fairly valued

Healthcare Risk 58 · Elevated

Price$249.46

Model IV$229.05

P/IV1.09

Premium +9% Return to IV: -8.2%

Market implies +5.0%/yr vs model +4.5% · in line

ADI

ANALOG DEVICES INC

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 54 · Elevated

Price$389.39

Model IV$139.94

P/IV2.96

Premium +178% Return to IV: -64.1%

Market implies +23.4%/yr vs model +11.1% · above model

AKTX

Akari Therapeutics Plc

Valuation N/A

Healthcare Risk 37 · Moderate

Price$7.00

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

AMAT

APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 42 · Elevated

Price$548.15

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +38.8%/yr vs model +10.5% · above model

AMD

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 31 · Moderate

Price$514.39

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +41.5%/yr vs model +20.5% · above model

AMX

AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/

Valuation N/A

Communication Services Risk 27 · Moderate

Price$23.45

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

AMZN

AMAZON COM INC

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 60 · High

Price$262.65

Model IV$19.32

P/IV12.02

Premium +1,259% Return to IV: -92.6%

Market implies +44.5%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 52 · Elevated

Price$198.82

Model IV$62.15

P/IV2.57

Premium +220% Return to IV: -68.7%

Market implies +33.0%/yr vs model +20.0% · above model

APP

AppLovin Corp

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 58 · Elevated

Price$312.67

Model IV$179.74

P/IV3.41

Premium +74% Return to IV: -42.5%

Market implies +21.5%/yr vs model +16.5% · above model

ARM

ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 55 · Elevated

Price$267.85

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +73.3%/yr vs model +8.0% · above model

ASML

ASML HOLDING NV

Valuation N/A

Industrials Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$1,740.99

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 27 · Moderate

Price$417.82

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +35.0%/yr vs model +23.5% · above model

AXP

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO

Deeply undervalued

Financial Services Risk 32 · Moderate

Price$343.65

Model IV$512.26

P/IV0.62

Discount 33% Return to IV: +49.1%

Market implies +4.7%/yr vs model +12.9% · below model

BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$128.41

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +33.4%/yr vs model +2.5% · above model

BAC

BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/

Deeply overvalued

Financial Services Risk 62 · High

Price$64.09

Model IV$44.34

P/IV1.40

Premium +45% Return to IV: -30.8%

BCH

BANK OF CHILE

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$40.69

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

BCS

BARCLAYS PLC

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 31 · Moderate

Price$28.14

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

BDRX

Biodexa Pharmaceuticals Plc

Valuation N/A

Healthcare Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$1.60

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

BHP

BHP Group Ltd

Valuation N/A

Basic Materials Risk 42 · Elevated

Price$90.12

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

BSAC

BANCO SANTANDER CHILE

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$34.01

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

C

CITIGROUP INC

Deeply overvalued

Financial Services Risk 56 · Elevated

Price$139.33

Model IV$85.38

P/IV1.47

Premium +63% Return to IV: -38.7%

CAT

CATERPILLAR INC

Deeply overvalued

Industrials Risk 60 · High

Price$856.57

Model IV$237.05

P/IV3.61

Premium +261% Return to IV: -72.3%

Market implies +24.3%/yr vs model +6.9% · above model

CCZ

COMCAST CORP

Undervalued

Communication Services Risk 30 · Moderate

Price$62.20

Model IV$85.63

P/IV0.77

Discount 27% Return to IV: +37.7%

Market implies -2.6%/yr vs model +2.0% · below model

CHT

CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO LTD

Valuation N/A

Communication Services Risk 37 · Moderate

Price$42.58

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

COST

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 52 · Elevated

Price$952.75

Model IV$364.14

P/IV2.57

Premium +162% Return to IV: -61.8%

Market implies +19.6%/yr vs model +8.6% · above model

CSCO

CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 59 · Elevated

Price$111.68

Model IV$44.50

P/IV2.71

Premium +151% Return to IV: -60.2%

Market implies +18.9%/yr vs model +7.3% · above model

CVX

CHEVRON CORP

Deeply overvalued

Energy Risk 53 · Elevated

Price$197.70

Model IV$132.76

P/IV1.47

Premium +49% Return to IV: -32.8%

Market implies +8.9%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model

DELL

Dell Technologies Inc.

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 58 · Elevated

Price$490.81

Model IV$149.85

P/IV2.81

Premium +228% Return to IV: -69.5%

Market implies +25.1%/yr vs model +9.2% · above model

DEO

DIAGEO PLC

Valuation N/A

Consumer Defensive Risk 27 · Moderate

Price$95.01

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

DGP

DEUTSCHE BANK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 46 · Elevated

Price$154.54

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

EC

ECOPETROL S.A.

Valuation N/A

Energy Risk 41 · Elevated

Price$17.17

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

ELVR

Elevra Lithium Ltd

Valuation N/A

Basic Materials Risk 39 · Moderate

Price$59.69

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

ENIC

Enel Chile S.A.

Deeply overvalued

Utilities Risk 64 · High

Price$4.41

Model IV$2.02

P/IV2.15

Premium +118% Return to IV: -54.2%

FWONA

Liberty Media Corp

Valuation N/A

Communication Services Risk 45 · Elevated

Price$93.88

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +35.0%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

FWONK

Liberty Media Corp

Valuation N/A

Communication Services Risk 45 · Elevated

Price$102.38

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +35.7%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

GE

GENERAL ELECTRIC CO

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 59 · Elevated

Price$366.70

Model IV$81.24

P/IV3.99

Premium +351% Return to IV: -77.8%

Market implies +24.4%/yr vs model +3.7% · above model

GEV

GE Vernova Inc.

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 32 · Moderate

Price$1,049.42

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +35.5%/yr vs model +9.7% · above model

GLDI

CREDIT SUISSE AG

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 31 · Moderate

Price$148.84

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

GOOG

Alphabet Inc.

Deeply overvalued

Technology Risk 54 · Elevated

Price$343.54

Model IV$79.81

P/IV4.72

Premium +330% Return to IV: -76.8%

Market implies +29.9%/yr vs model +11.9% · above model

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 39 · Moderate

Price$345.90

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +31.3%/yr vs model +11.9% · above model

GS

GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 27 · Moderate

Price$1,039.42

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +57.2%/yr vs model +2.0% · above model

GSK

GSK plc

Valuation N/A

Healthcare Risk 31 · Moderate

Price$50.30

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

HD

HOME DEPOT, INC.

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Cyclical Risk 63 · High

Price$341.70

Model IV$208.11

P/IV1.60

Premium +64% Return to IV: -39.1%

Market implies +10.0%/yr vs model +3.9% · above model

HSBC

HSBC HOLDINGS PLC

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$103.79

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

IBM

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP

Overvalued

Technology Risk 57 · Elevated

Price$234.32

Model IV$184.09

P/IV1.62

Premium +27% Return to IV: -21.4%

Market implies +8.9%/yr vs model +6.5% · in line

INTC

INTEL CORP

Valuation N/A

Technology Risk 27 · Moderate

Price$102.50

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +42.6%/yr vs model +0.0% · above model

IWDL

UBS AG

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 46 · Elevated

Price$69.99

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

IWFL

UBS AG

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 31 · Moderate

Price$61.44

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

JNJ

JOHNSON & JOHNSON

Overvalued

Healthcare Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$260.86

Model IV$223.02

P/IV1.18

Premium +17% Return to IV: -14.5%

Market implies +8.1%/yr vs model +7.3% · in line

JPM

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO

Deeply overvalued

Financial Services Risk 70 · High

Price$365.18

Model IV$234.24

P/IV1.51

Premium +56% Return to IV: -35.9%

KLAC

KLA CORP

Deeply undervalued

Healthcare Risk 62 · High

Price$192.74

Model IV$470.80

P/IV4.08

Discount 59% Return to IV: +144.3%

Market implies -0.2%/yr vs model +17.3% · below model

KO

COCA COLA CO

Deeply overvalued

Consumer Defensive Risk 63 · High

Price$87.42

Model IV$42.77

P/IV1.92

Premium +104% Return to IV: -51.1%

Market implies +13.3%/yr vs model +5.4% · above model

LIN

LINDE PLC

Deeply overvalued

Basic Materials Risk 57 · Elevated

Price$489.98

Model IV$174.78

P/IV2.93

Premium +180% Return to IV: -64.3%

Market implies +16.7%/yr vs model +3.3% · above model

LLY

ELI LILLY & Co

Deeply overvalued

Healthcare Risk 57 · Elevated

Price$1,185.71

Model IV$748.36

P/IV1.60

Premium +58% Return to IV: -36.9%

Market implies +20.7%/yr vs model +19.2% · in line

LRCX

LAM RESEARCH CORP

Valuation N/A

Industrials Risk 40 · Elevated

Price$332.36

Model IV—

P/IV—

Market implies +40.8%/yr vs model +7.2% · above model

LTM

LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.

Valuation N/A

Industrials Risk 27 · Moderate

Price$53.01

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

LYG

Lloyds Banking Group plc

Valuation N/A

Financial Services Risk 50 · Elevated

Price$6.21

Model IV—

P/IV—

Limited data — see page

MA

Mastercard Inc

Undervalued

Technology Risk 29 · Moderate

Price$562.95

Model IV$708.75

P/IV0.70

Discount 21% Return to IV: +25.9%

Market implies +10.0%/yr vs model +16.2% · below model